Lol · resolved market
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Croatian Flair x RLX (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9b0dafe0904ec027ab960019843ca469e15eb5d020380219e8538ac0400fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPIKE Syndicateof SPIKE Syndicate, Croatian Flair x RLX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6358…cc23backed SPIKE Syndicate | 22c | 317.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 48c | 142.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 30c | 61.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 72c | 42.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 41c | 40.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed SPIKE Syndicate | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 292 | 38.7%113 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 78c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Croatian Flair x RLX | 53c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 49c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPIKE Syndicate | 51c | 30.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SPIKE Syndicate | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Croatian Flair x RLX | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.