College Football · resolved market
North Carolina State vs. Duke
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8127ae4ce00d83f7850d1179259ccd366d0daa091f59b501148033d90cf9322f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof North Carolina State, Duke
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked North Carolina State | 45c | 13,325$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930.6 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Duke | 60c | 8,779$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed North Carolina State | 14c | 7,587$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed North Carolina State | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Duke | 59c | 4,194$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.84 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Duke | 65c | 3,799$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.77 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Duke | 62c | 3,610$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.61 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed North Carolina State | 34c | 3,234$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…78f5backed Duke | 37c | 3,016$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked North Carolina State | 11c | 2,507$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed North Carolina State | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed North Carolina State | 42c | 2,273$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.39 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked North Carolina State | 34c | 1,900$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke | 58c | 1,800$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.17 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked North Carolina State | 40c | 1,718$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Duke | 62c | 1,552$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke | 53c | 1,487$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.17 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked North Carolina State | 40c | 1,123$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.08 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed North Carolina State | 39c | 968.39$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.27 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…5c3cbacked Duke | 61c | 811.48$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina State | 41c | 731$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked North Carolina State | 39c | 714$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed North Carolina State | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked North Carolina State | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked North Carolina State | 43c | 668$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Duke | 61c | 666.98$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Duke | 58c | 625$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Duke | 54c | 545.67$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed North Carolina State | 35c | 531.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked North Carolina State | 39c | 526.48$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked North Carolina State | 16c | 507.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Carolina State | 11c | 362.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Duke | 59c | 346$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Duke | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Duke | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Duke | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Duke | 32c | 270.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed North Carolina State | 14c | 240.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked North Carolina State | 8c | 231.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed North Carolina State | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Duke | 57c | 203.73$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Duke | 59c | 196.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed North Carolina State | 16c | 183.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Duke | 58c | 172.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Duke | 68c | 162$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed North Carolina State | 67c | 150.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Duke | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Duke | 49c | 118.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed North Carolina State | 43c | 117.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Duke | 24c | 104.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked North Carolina State | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbba0…8bafbacked North Carolina State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…5c30backed Duke | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…566abacked North Carolina State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…abfcbacked North Carolina State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…844dbacked Duke | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…cc7dbacked Duke | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Duke | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dce…68b0backed North Carolina State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…6b2cbacked Duke | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…1ccfbacked Duke | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…6340backed North Carolina State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9082backed Duke | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…c55bbacked North Carolina State | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed North Carolina State | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked North Carolina State | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed North Carolina State | 39c | 76.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Duke | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Duke | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…b694backed North Carolina State | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…ccaebacked North Carolina State | 43c | 60.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed North Carolina State | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f80…3e90backed Duke | 58c | 58.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf63…b05bbacked North Carolina State | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed North Carolina State | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…952bbacked North Carolina State | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Duke | 59c | 42.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Duke | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Carolina State | 77c | 40.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…c686backed Duke | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Duke | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked North Carolina State | 76c | 31.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked North Carolina State | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Duke | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Duke | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Duke | 50c | 26.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Duke | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Duke | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…4c29backed North Carolina State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State vs. Dukethis page
- North Carolina State vs. Duke: O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Duke (-3.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.