College Football · resolved market
UCLA vs. UNLV
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e8a3adbb9131ad46306bb1a02977587f292c112f745995b34325417fa748d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLVof UCLA, UNLV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UNLV | 72c | 33,123$23,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,353.38 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed UCLA | 19c | 29,068$5,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.62 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked UNLV | 71c | 18,667$13,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.1 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UCLA | 54c | 18,151$9,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820.68 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA | 48c | 11,887$5,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.22 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed UCLA | 31c | 9,739$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked UNLV | 47c | 9,115$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed UCLA | 12c | 5,614$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed UCLA | 22c | 5,360$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.39 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed UCLA | 16c | 4,715$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.52 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked UCLA | 50c | 4,316$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.49 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UCLA | 1c | 4,140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked UNLV | 45c | 4,095$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.23 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed UCLA | 0c | 3,734$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UCLA | 55c | 3,694$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.78 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed UCLA | 53c | 2,700$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.94 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed UCLA | 8c | 2,571$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNLV | 79c | 2,331$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.5 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UCLA | 35c | 2,113$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.4 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UCLA | 55c | 2,028$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.24 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UNLV | 47c | 1,929$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.68 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed UNLV | 50c | 1,840$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.4 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed UNLV | 46c | 1,746$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.72 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked UCLA | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed UCLA | 13c | 1,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UNLV | 45c | 1,425$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.75 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed UNLV | 79c | 1,252$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.87 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked UNLV | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked UCLA | 15c | 1,083$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNLV | 76c | 857.12$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed UCLA | 55c | 800$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed UNLV | 43c | 599.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.62 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCLA | 17c | 485.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UNLV | 46c | 482.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCLA | 28c | 439$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed UNLV | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed UCLA | 13c | 386.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed UCLA | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed UCLA | 11c | 290.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UCLA | 55c | 272.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed UCLA | 16c | 236.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UNLV | 45c | 221.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UNLV | 79c | 214.62$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UNLV | 46c | 202.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked UNLV | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked UCLA | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed UNLV | 46c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked UNLV | 47c | 137.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…e0c3backed UCLA | 54c | 114.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…2149backed UNLV | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked UNLV | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UNLV | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCLA | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked UCLA | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked UCLA | 55c | 93.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…594abacked UCLA | 54c | 92.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…e669backed UCLA | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV | 45c | 77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed UCLA | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed UNLV | 42c | 69.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed UNLV | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed UNLV | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked UNLV | 47c | 53.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed UNLV | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked UCLA | 27c | 50.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed UCLA | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UCLA | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked UCLA | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed UNLV | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed UNLV | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked UNLV | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed UNLV | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…78ecbacked UCLA | 54c | 22.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA vs. UNLVthis page
- Spread: UCLA (-2.5)UNLV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.