MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d53d2ffef2c8ec2ac7559a8d46359a394925176b41a79045c65c6111d7729a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cardinals | 61c | 148,001$90,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,044.52 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked White Sox | 38c | 110,500$41,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,990 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…8dcabacked White Sox | 42c | 88,507$37,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,173.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cardinals | 61c | 83,020$50,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,508.6 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed White Sox | 42c | 22,620$9,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,477.83 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 60c | 9,275$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 58c | 8,900$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,755 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Cardinals | 63c | 6,629$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 42c | 5,395$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.97 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 63c | 5,370$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.57 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cardinals | 61c | 4,952$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.79 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Cardinals | 64c | 4,008$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.88 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 62c | 4,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked White Sox | 43c | 3,404$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 58c | 3,347$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.72 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 41c | 3,107$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 41c | 2,609$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.69 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 61c | 2,509$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Cardinals | 62c | 2,154$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cardinals | 63c | 1,986$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.67 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 40c | 1,668$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 41c | 1,466$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,270$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed White Sox | 40c | 1,038$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.94 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,019$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Cardinals | 20c | 991.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.25 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cardinals | 61c | 933.96$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.98 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 42c | 904.26$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 46c | 866$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Cardinals | 50c | 765.74$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed White Sox | 50c | 755.92$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.96 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cardinals | 61c | 750$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 59c | 724.83$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cardinals | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed White Sox | 18c | 523.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cardinals | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.06 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…66a8backed White Sox | 42c | 430.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Cardinals | 59c | 376.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.91 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cardinals | 59c | 374.58$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cardinals | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Cardinals | 63c | 307.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked White Sox | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Cardinals | 59c | 238$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Cardinals | 61c | 218.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed White Sox | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 62c | 197.61$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 59c | 168.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox | 42c | 105$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 41c | 102.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cardinals | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 41c | 100.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Cardinals | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3257backed White Sox | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 52cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cardinals | 63c | 94.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed White Sox | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox | 41c | 68.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked White Sox | 48c | 62.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Cardinals | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Cardinals | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 46.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked White Sox | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…a6a6backed Cardinals | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…ffb5backed Cardinals | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked White Sox | 38c | 31.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…d6c4backed Cardinals | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked White Sox | 42c | 27.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Cardinals | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Cardinals | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Cardinals | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Cardinals | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cardinals | 60c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.