MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e1391b092c8b9b26d6be337a533e14483c0a0f31dcd12a19067b6b4216aa8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked White Sox | 35c | 100,027$35,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,009.32 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 65c | 83,335$54,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,172.8 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed White Sox | 34c | 35,928$12,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.42 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Cardinals | 68c | 30,184$20,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,721.14 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed White Sox | 38c | 27,120$10,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,291.21 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 64c | 14,389$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed White Sox | 35c | 13,635$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,743.43 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 13,367$8,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.56 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox | 43c | 12,466$5,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.66 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cardinals | 65c | 11,292$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.57 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 36c | 9,042$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.59 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 42c | 6,800$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cardinals | 79c | 6,311$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.2 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 57c | 5,118$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.84 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 61c | 5,088$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Cardinals | 73c | 5,067$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked White Sox | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Cardinals | 57c | 3,952$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.3 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 41c | 3,766$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 61c | 3,442$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.7 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 58c | 3,345$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.9 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked White Sox | 43c | 3,270$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.04 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 60c | 2,744$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.68 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed White Sox | 39c | 2,532$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.48 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 61c | 2,512$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,996$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.74 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 37c | 1,967$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed White Sox | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed White Sox | 41c | 1,784$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.39 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked White Sox | 38c | 1,623$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.56 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 62c | 1,480$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.4 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed White Sox | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed Cardinals | 63c | 967$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Cardinals | 57c | 887.99$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.08 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 64c | 885.89$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 27c | 768.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Cardinals | 59c | 599.76$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 62c | 585.72$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 61c | 477.05$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Cardinals | 61c | 450$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cardinals | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked White Sox | 8c | 389.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cardinals | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed White Sox | 43c | 381.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed White Sox | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed Cardinals | 57c | 333$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 62c | 324.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 36c | 271.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 64c | 258.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 61c | 255$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked White Sox | 44c | 255$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…ad1dbacked White Sox | 49c | 246.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cardinals | 63c | 233.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 37c | 208.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.02 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked White Sox | 38c | 193.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cardinals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox | 7c | 154.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked White Sox | 28c | 149.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Cardinals | 67c | 140.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 38c | 133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cardinals | 67c | 127.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked White Sox | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cardinals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Cardinals | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…4c8bbacked Cardinals | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed White Sox | 31c | 99.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Cardinals | 64c | 96.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…9e96backed Cardinals | 61c | 96.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Cardinals | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Cardinals | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cardinals | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Cardinals | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed White Sox | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed White Sox | 37c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…da96backed Cardinals | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…dfb0backed Cardinals | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…e046backed White Sox | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Cardinals | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Cardinals | 58c | 22.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…f7b4backed Cardinals | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Cardinals | 64c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…e6fcbacked Cardinals | 61c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d4…1b08backed Cardinals | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cardinals | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.