NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e06a31162c8ab0b1e595c94b517884a1e1e23145ab0f689d1db67e105fd42b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd31a…a098backed Knicks | 9c | 24,645$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 28c | 16,922$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.75 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks | 18c | 15,192$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.65 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 18c | 15,100$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Cavaliers | 77c | 14,343$11,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 25c | 6,400$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Cavaliers | 62c | 6,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Cavaliers | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Knicks | 18c | 5,305$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.9 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Knicks | 18c | 5,156$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.46 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Knicks | 44c | 5,083$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Knicks | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks | 18c | 4,164$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.25 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 17c | 3,508$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.38 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Cavaliers | 71c | 3,402$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.59 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cavaliers | 80c | 3,400$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 27c | 3,378$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Cavaliers | 54c | 3,060$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.59 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Knicks | 18c | 2,996$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.3 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks | 35c | 2,859$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Knicks | 17c | 2,386$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Cavaliers | 75c | 2,352$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.09 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks | 19c | 2,056$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,008$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.33 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Knicks | 38c | 1,863$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.74 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,757$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.47 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 19c | 1,589$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,569$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.23 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 1,525$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.25 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cavaliers | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cavaliers | 75c | 1,360$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.78 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Cavaliers | 79c | 1,355$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Knicks | 40c | 1,334$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Knicks | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 1,240$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 1,083$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.11 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Knicks | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Knicks | 32c | 999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Knicks | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Knicks | 33c | 949.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.76 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks | 56c | 903.4$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.61 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks | 18c | 822$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Cavaliers | 49c | 815.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Knicks | 18c | 800$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 753.33$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.33 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 40c | 724.39$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.72 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Knicks | 30c | 664.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71b…38b4backed Knicks | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed Knicks | 18c | 572.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Knicks | 22c | 546.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 4c | 525$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Cavaliers | 67c | 502.19$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cavaliers | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Knicks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Knicks | 43c | 480$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers | 63c | 473.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Cavaliers | 53c | 464.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Knicks | 17c | 459.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…b3d4backed Cavaliers | 66c | 444$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Cavaliers | 47c | 426.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Knicks | 30c | 419.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Cavaliers | 75c | 400.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks | 46c | 381.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.15 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Knicks | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Knicks | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Knicks | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…58a1backed Cavaliers | 75c | 294.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 284.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Knicks | 46c | 280$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…2de4backed Knicks | 43c | 271.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Knicks | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 18c | 262.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 260.09$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…226ebacked Knicks | 51c | 253.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Knicks | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…6bdabacked Knicks | 18c | 244.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Knicks | 50c | 240.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers | 74c | 227.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…2869backed Cavaliers | 45c | 223.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 201.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 200.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Knicks | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Knicks | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Cavaliers | 51c | 195.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d6…25b8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…28d7backed Knicks | 18c | 183.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…f2d3backed Knicks | 18c | 172.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…a0a4backed Cavaliers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Cavaliers | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 157.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Knicks | 28c | 139.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Knicks | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…7483backed Cavaliers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Knicks | 18c | 123$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cavaliers | 76c | 121.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.