Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Georgia vs Spain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4701f56b91a1ad1f1d579a6039cc51a3832de60e14ba29428c98af8544be5b2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Spain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Georgia | 20c | 4,028$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Spain | 80c | 3,030$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Spain | 72c | 1,394$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.91 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Spain | 32c | 953.34$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Spain | 55c | 823.72$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Spain | 68c | 711.52$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Georgia | 19c | 631.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Georgia | 31c | 588.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.12 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Georgia | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Spain | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spain | 48c | 414.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Georgia | 53c | 259.34$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Spain | 80c | 251.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Spain | 44c | 243.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Georgia | 50c | 213.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Spain | 61c | 189.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…c859backed Spain | 71c | 125.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Georgia | 19c | 99.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Spain | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spain | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Georgia | 19c | 58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…3307backed Georgia | 71c | 45.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Georgia | 72c | 43.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Georgia | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Georgia | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked Spain | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Spain | 74c | 15.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.