Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58602aa9a3ba837c26ff072079686e611707f0e4ec4c2b3804adb8214b3db16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 161,530$118,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,364.65 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 61,691$23,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,339.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 1c | 50,716$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,196.81 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 18,216$11,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 39c | 15,390$6,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.9 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 11,319$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.4 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 67c | 7,069$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 3,910$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…2761backed Yes | 38c | 3,621$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…4ff1backed No | 62c | 3,617$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 65c | 2,800$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.26 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 61c | 2,675$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.89 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 65c | 2,477$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.19 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 2,057$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.82 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked No | 63c | 1,863$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.75 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 37c | 1,526$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 61c | 1,402$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.74 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 34c | 1,362$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.89 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked No | 3c | 1,300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,022.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 29c | 1,250$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.95 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 919.44$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 62c | 723.96$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.94 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 63c | 709.87$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 593.16$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.31 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 462.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed No | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 7c | 410.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.31 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 38c | 389.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 21c | 339$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 299.12$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 27c | 254.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…b859backed No | 42c | 188.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +404.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 7c | 159.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…63afbacked No | 65c | 154.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…1210backed Yes | 75c | 108.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 38c | 87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 38c | 84.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 83.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked No | 63c | 66.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…40cabacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Yes | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d55…6014backed Yes | 39c | 51.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 40c | 49.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed Yes | 37c | 48.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 62c | 45.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 38c | 38.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 61c | 35.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 58c | 34.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed No | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…5240backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b29…ef09backed Yes | 39c | 25.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…f446backed Yes | 39c | 25.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 66c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.