TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x929e…f3b8backed Under54c55,000$29,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,300771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Over51c16,194$8,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,227.829857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1599…435fbacked Over44c11,989$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea34…42e4backed Under54c11,986$6,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,513.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x074e…1f09backed Over46c10,535$4,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,846.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ce…7713backed Over44c9,791$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,308.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bb…c2d0backed Under56c9,177$5,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1e…aa6abacked Under56c9,127$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df4…1fd8backed Over46c8,861$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,076.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c5…7ef0backed Over46c8,369$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe187…d4b5backed Over46c8,086$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95c…096ebacked Over44c8,078$3,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e95…3040backed Under54c8,025$4,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.57100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd5ef…5493backed Under56c8,022$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac9…1a50backed Under54c7,968$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ed…44abbacked Under56c7,654$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb09c…dd09backed Over46c7,519$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,458.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ca…d784backed Under54c7,137$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8e…8345backed Over46c7,090$3,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528b…6c75backed Over46c7,061$3,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,248.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b37…9511backed Over46c7,059$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,247.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under60c6,936$4,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.3683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb981…1e35backed Over46c6,728$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7364…7cdebacked Under54c6,682$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,073.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fe…0f14backed Under54c6,476$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb152…be51backed Over46c6,458$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x887c…07a2backed Under56c6,372$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf4f…cd82backed Over46c6,277$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae99…da2bbacked Over46c6,150$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,829250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb461…8e86backed Over46c6,117$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29ce…ec25backed Over46c6,065$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb7…0744backed Under54c6,034$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9808…d7adbacked Under54c5,885$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2780…ba98backed Over46c5,864$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…31acbacked Under54c5,761$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c5,723$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a8…2b7ebacked Under54c5,606$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6805…6852backed Under54c5,492$2,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.32560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x849a…16f5backed Over44c5,464$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f96…a0c7backed Over46c5,426$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,495.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d4…d116backed Under54c5,367$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a0c…18e5backed Under54c5,360$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec5…3621backed Over46c5,262$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x915e…1642backed Over46c5,220$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea37…8d5dbacked Under54c4,987$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8550…5c92backed Over44c4,862$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceef…98abbacked Over44c4,698$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2821…bdcdbacked Over46c4,613$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4e…e246backed Under56c4,517$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac35…182ebacked Over46c4,511$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e36…76cfbacked Under54c4,413$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f1…3cd3backed Over46c4,132$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21e4…5f00backed Under54c4,067$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cff…b144backed Over46c4,021$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c51…25c3backed Over46c4,004$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c7…f571backed Under54c3,989$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x702c…6550backed Under54c3,929$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d35…21cebacked Under54c3,908$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c8…ddeabacked Over46c3,839$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e2…037ebacked Over46c3,831$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cac…ee84backed Over46c3,787$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over46c3,561$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.1124053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffb6…82b6backed Under54c3,416$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0943…f68cbacked Under54c3,139$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2722035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked Over14c2,117$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.763148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over38c1,968$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over35c1,578$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3626034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c1,480$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.82,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under53c1,450$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.4916053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c1,298$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.231,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,174$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c1,126$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.263,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,116$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over48c1,065$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51135749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c784$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Under54c725.56$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.7611361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under29c689$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1935326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under76c543.04$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.233,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Over4c501.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204057.5%23 W · 17 L+6.6wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under27c462$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.2639018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c394.21$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.163,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda88…500abacked Under54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc83a…1b9cbacked Over46c388$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c349$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.521,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd885…18abbacked Over46c307$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ce1dbacked Under54c295$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over45c290.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Over56c267.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502630.8%8 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8206…7195backed Under54c263$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under62c262.45$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under44c254.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c254.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4642…dc09backed Over46c244$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d60…4a69backed Under54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595e…9ec0backed Over46c237$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfa…6625backed Under54c235$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea3…2006backed Under54c233$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d87…a64bbacked Under54c223$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.