NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96db16d549fc34e4794475cbc5633d666038b922fc1691b8a7709bc95ce6f8fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Hawks, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks | 48c | 10,990$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hawks | 46c | 9,568$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,401.17 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks | 52c | 6,778$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.03 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Bucks | 52c | 6,562$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.83 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Bucks | 51c | 6,562$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.45 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5332…f9a8backed Hawks | 49c | 6,202$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…c2d8backed Hawks | 49c | 6,161$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afa…a637backed Hawks | 49c | 6,152$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…ba34backed Hawks | 49c | 6,002$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bucks | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Bucks | 52c | 5,379$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.54 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 54c | 4,666$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.36 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…c78cbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,525$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…209fbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,368$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 54c | 4,198$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.41 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 4,048$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…6eaebacked Bucks | 51c | 3,303$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada2…8822backed Bucks | 51c | 3,209$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Bucks | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Hawks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…f4b2backed Bucks | 51c | 3,133$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…849ebacked Bucks | 51c | 3,112$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…b90fbacked Bucks | 51c | 3,068$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…62ecbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,998$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07a…d7cebacked Bucks | 51c | 2,946$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 50c | 2,816$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…f13bbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,748$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Bucks | 50c | 2,322$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 59c | 2,248$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hawks | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,946$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.54 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 48c | 1,923$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.59 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hawks | 48c | 1,815$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hawks | 50c | 1,706$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 27c | 1,570$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Bucks | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 48c | 1,508$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Hawks | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Hawks | 49c | 1,398$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.99 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3639…e772backed Hawks | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 47c | 1,289$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.93 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…2274backed Hawks | 49c | 1,272$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…fe77backed Hawks | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…ab7abacked Hawks | 49c | 1,176$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…b20dbacked Hawks | 49c | 1,108$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…88aabacked Hawks | 49c | 1,054$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Bucks | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 48c | 981.58$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…2d59backed Hawks | 49c | 931$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Hawks | 50c | 908.96$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.02 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…0b2ebacked Hawks | 50c | 875.24$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f60…0df9backed Hawks | 49c | 819$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Bucks | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Hawks | 48c | 711$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Hawks | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hawks | 2c | 593.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hawks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Bucks | 52c | 483.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bucks | 52c | 415.51$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…6494backed Bucks | 51c | 402$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580f…c80cbacked Hawks | 50c | 402$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…3143backed Hawks | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…64afbacked Bucks | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…a951backed Hawks | 50c | 393$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…b2b5backed Bucks | 51c | 393$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…089abacked Hawks | 50c | 392$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…ee48backed Bucks | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…ecccbacked Bucks | 51c | 391$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…975cbacked Hawks | 50c | 391$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Bucks | 51c | 387$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279f…2008backed Hawks | 50c | 387$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…1a90backed Bucks | 51c | 368$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…4185backed Hawks | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Hawks | 46c | 324.59$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Hawks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Bucks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hawks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Bucks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Bucks | 54c | 185.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Hawks | 48c | 183.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 63c | 113.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks | 24c | 110.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Hawks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Hawks | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Hawks | 47c | 74.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Hawks | 49c | 58.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 51c | 53.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hawks | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Hawks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bucks | 54c | 49.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Bucks | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Hawks | 46c | 47.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed Bucks | 55c | 43.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Hawks | 49c | 41.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Hawks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Bucks | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Bucks | 52c | 29.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Hawks | 50c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Bucks vs. HawksBucks won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 203.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 206.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 209.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 211.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 212.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Under won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.