TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves53c60,338$31,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,424.4420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks47c26,331$12,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,367.872,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks48c17,167$8,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,183.8389050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Knicks47c9,389$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41312151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks46c6,715$3,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,115.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves52c4,808$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks47c2,553$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Knicks47c2,213$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04024847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Timberwolves57c1,690$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.749938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks48c1,083$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves51c741$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.832,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves54c684$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6444648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Knicks47c638.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.161822.2%4 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks48c622.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Timberwolves53c548$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.049341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3723553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c355$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Timberwolves54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.36560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves49c227.45$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks44c215.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.942,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Knicks47c214.76$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.948652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Knicks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Knicks47c212.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Knicks48c210.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Knicks47c208.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0418954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Knicks47c208.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Knicks48c206.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013834.1%47 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Knicks51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10226150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Timberwolves53c199.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9915844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves55c190.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.871,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Timberwolves54c185.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2815857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks47c166$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Knicks9c161.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9416…9d2cbacked Knicks47c155.43$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.05955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Knicks29c125$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Timberwolves55c123.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves52c114$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.721,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Knicks46c110.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.591,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks47c102.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.233,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Knicks47c102.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9615440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Knicks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Timberwolves53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4737357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Knicks44c92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.083043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks41c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.451,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Timberwolves55c89.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.094961.2%30 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Knicks47c88.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.432,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7afb…ff15backed Knicks51c79.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.957528%21 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks46c79.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.421,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35cd…fc05backed Knicks50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Knicks44c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.366446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks47c66.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.112,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Knicks46c64.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.98053.8%43 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves55c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2937755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Knicks47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013536.3%49 W · 86 L-0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Knicks47c63.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.996434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Timberwolves55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves50c57.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db2…9289backed Knicks47c51.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.152657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Knicks45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Knicks46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Knicks48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013449.3%66 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Knicks48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bef…b7c2backed Timberwolves54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Timberwolves54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.048543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…551bbacked Timberwolves50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Timberwolves54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6449358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Timberwolves56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.523171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb7fb…3b1abacked Knicks47c32.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…770ebacked Timberwolves54c32.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5002…23dbbacked Knicks46c31.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Knicks43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.988845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…da60backed Timberwolves55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.58248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd176…27cabacked Knicks49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves53c28.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.322,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26aa…026cbacked Knicks51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149843.9%43 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c90…404cbacked Timberwolves55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x95fe…2713backed Knicks40c27.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Timberwolves54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.964650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Knicks45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Knicks45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Timberwolves56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Timberwolves58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4587950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf5…46e4backed Knicks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7305…cbc0backed Knicks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8843…a5d2backed Knicks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Timberwolves57c19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.