NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359063a3cf3c6d69e92d8afaaea535165b88b54d3925d3df2d0177c69c03084d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 60,338$31,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,424.44 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 47c | 26,331$12,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,367.87 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Knicks | 48c | 17,167$8,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,183.83 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Knicks | 47c | 9,389$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 46c | 6,715$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Knicks | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Knicks | 47c | 2,213$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,690$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.7 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 48c | 1,083$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 51c | 741$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Timberwolves | 54c | 684$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Knicks | 47c | 638.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 48c | 622.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 548$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.04 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 47c | 355$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 49c | 227.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Knicks | 44c | 215.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Knicks | 47c | 214.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Knicks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Knicks | 47c | 212.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Knicks | 48c | 210.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Knicks | 47c | 208.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Knicks | 47c | 208.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Knicks | 48c | 206.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Knicks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 199.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Timberwolves | 55c | 190.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks | 47c | 166$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Knicks | 9c | 161.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…9d2cbacked Knicks | 47c | 155.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Knicks | 29c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Timberwolves | 55c | 123.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Knicks | 46c | 110.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 47c | 102.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Knicks | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Knicks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Knicks | 44c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 41c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Timberwolves | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Knicks | 47c | 88.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Knicks | 51c | 79.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Knicks | 46c | 79.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…fc05backed Knicks | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Knicks | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 47c | 66.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Knicks | 46c | 64.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Timberwolves | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Knicks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 36.3%49 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Knicks | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 50c | 57.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Knicks | 47c | 51.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Knicks | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Knicks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Knicks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Knicks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Timberwolves | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…551bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fb…3b1abacked Knicks | 47c | 32.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…770ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5002…23dbbacked Knicks | 46c | 31.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Knicks | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Timberwolves | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…27cabacked Knicks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…026cbacked Knicks | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…404cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…2713backed Knicks | 40c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…a856backed Timberwolves | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Knicks | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Knicks | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Timberwolves | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Timberwolves | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…46e4backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…cbc0backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8843…a5d2backed Knicks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Timberwolves | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Knicks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.