Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Tallon Griekspoor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15bf682c2d6d25f35f9d722f7a137cf9e06fd2004c12bf07733c88ca80dea391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Khachanov, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Khachanov | 54c | 5,500$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.17 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Griekspoor | 50c | 5,024$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Khachanov | 57c | 3,288$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.88 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Griekspoor | 56c | 3,016$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Griekspoor | 36c | 1,999$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.36 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Khachanov | 58c | 1,710$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Griekspoor | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Khachanov | 35c | 1,350$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.31 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Griekspoor | 48c | 1,321$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.52 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Khachanov | 58c | 1,164$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Griekspoor | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Griekspoor | 39c | 980.34$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.34 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Khachanov | 62c | 694.66$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Griekspoor | 38c | 658.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.95 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Khachanov | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Khachanov | 65c | 537.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Khachanov | 54c | 530.97$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.53 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Griekspoor | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Griekspoor | 68c | 385.31$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Khachanov | 43c | 355.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Griekspoor | 36c | 324$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Khachanov | 38c | 293.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Griekspoor | 64c | 282.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Khachanov | 23c | 282$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Griekspoor | 37c | 272.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Khachanov | 60c | 225.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Khachanov | 35c | 188.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Khachanov | 35c | 162$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Khachanov | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Khachanov | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Khachanov | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 61.1%102 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Khachanov | 35c | 125.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Khachanov | 56c | 124.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Griekspoor | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Khachanov | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Khachanov | 39c | 80.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Khachanov | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Griekspoor | 60c | 75.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Khachanov | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Khachanov | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Khachanov | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Khachanov | 25c | 50.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Griekspoor | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Griekspoor | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Griekspoor | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…de71backed Griekspoor | 63c | 47.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Griekspoor | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Khachanov | 66c | 30.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Griekspoor | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Khachanov | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Griekspoor | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…9687backed Griekspoor | 47c | 25.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Khachanov | 64c | 24.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…83c0backed Khachanov | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Khachanov | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…70aabacked Khachanov | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.