TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61d4…3593backed Over1c72,142$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over0c35,219$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over24c5,000$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.373933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under80c4,970$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.0912639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c4,708$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.1713048.5%63 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Over4c3,163$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f58…04e4backed Over29c2,290$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under75c2,052$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.24852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under52c2,006$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.83941%16 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c1,890$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.1169352.2%362 W · 331 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under1c1,758$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.681275%9 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+1,035.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over38c1,560$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.720769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Under74c1,255$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under30c1,148$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.4119340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under66c1,074$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.055740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over38c1,054$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.413246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Over9c1,011$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under60c984.49$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.86663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under12c930$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.420138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under62c864.92$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.678155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b7b…6e86backed Under80c747.05$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over55c728$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.44768.1%32 W · 15 L+10.5wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+56.1%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over55c728$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.45154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under10c720$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6489145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under20c699.26$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.1220638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3425444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under5c583.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.542544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over46c571.81$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.575242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under5c563.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.321,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under63c470.74$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.182853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over19c454.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.769339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c418.34$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2992835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over63c385.16$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.22,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under56c378.97$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.138953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over33c360.52$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.127570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under17c318.56$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.356549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.356341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Over47c284.53$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.292857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c269.03$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4270842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Over45c252$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.254057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over46c239$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.232962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Over49c237$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under43c220.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.567037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over38c211.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.074055%22 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over25c206.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.752748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick8cpaid+573.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over32c186.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.25046%23 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over54c185.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under44c185$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0721854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under74c181.27$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.172045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over13c163.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66634.8%23 W · 43 L+13.5wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+156.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9955…e803backed Over67c151.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Over44c113.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over46c113.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.442646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9907backed Under49c104.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over69c101.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.337866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over47c99.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.410949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under31c98.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under62c96.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over59c96.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6572144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over36c85.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5924548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over64c84.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.773961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over36c81.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under21c81.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.874753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under18c70.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+230.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over78c69.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.961,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over32c63.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.444843.8%21 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over31c60.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.881838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7844152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under60c53.83$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5326348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over39c53.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0310454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over37c50.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.914949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over38c40.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Over54c35.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Over45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under55c32.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.472458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c31.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Over48c31.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over70c31.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.861,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over69c29.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432568%17 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under66c27.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.344259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over78c25.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205664.3%36 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over45c22.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3310441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over54c22.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.031861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.64841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed Under77c14.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.