Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x905b1f9abb4c52ec131fc8855ec7346e360f8386494b4266d3c873a9dcdc3edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 50c | 512.97$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 61c | 512.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 7c | 451.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Under | 13c | 374.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 308$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Over | 41c | 224.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…5f1abacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 83.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 76c | 82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.