Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb22b24e325de0280d2a39158d137f79226016970c0e788049dda8c9ca7327ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 3,889$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 2,984$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.3 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,291$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.17 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 32c | 913$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 55c | 906.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 75c | 644.82$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 56c | 357.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 354.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 203.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 126.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 26c | 92.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 36c | 90.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 74.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 29c | 71.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 35c | 55.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Over | 25c | 46.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 41.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 47c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 47c | 22.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 48c | 22.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 68c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.