Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427a03befd588ce603f7673157407057d674239df33685ff09caa1e1c0070b99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 13c | 4,661$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.18 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 24c | 2,643$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.16 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +14.4wins | +0.21per pick | 14cpaid | +170%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 1,560$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.69 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 38c | 1,517$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 4c | 870.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.06 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 17c | 476.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.42 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 406.42$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.83 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 342.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 9c | 301.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.61 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 77c | 222$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 50c | 171$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 65c | 170$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 33c | 164.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 75c | 157.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 129.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 102.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 41c | 94.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 31c | 89.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 32c | 83.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 32c | 83.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 31c | 73.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked No | 15c | 67.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 78c | 67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…010ebacked Yes | 78c | 64.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 31c | 54.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 65c | 51.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 47.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 27c | 46.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 241 | 61.4%148 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 50c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 50c | 38.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked No | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 69c | 33.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 31c | 33.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 30c | 32.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Yes | 50c | 32.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 70c | 31.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 29.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 41c | 26.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 66c | 26.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 62c | 16.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…91b2backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.