Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf41c9ab767c5e241e03fddf8c01e6d477e8440df574f2ab511f9137e9bf7c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 6,356$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.64 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 42c | 6,114$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.35 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 51c | 4,126$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.39 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 2,820$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.97 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 47c | 2,584$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.11 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 64c | 2,063$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.09 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,060$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.75 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 536.3$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 59c | 531.09$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.71 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 73c | 470$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 430.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…3493backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 49c | 405.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 356.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 51c | 294.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Under | 42c | 275.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 37c | 270.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 77c | 254.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 65c | 235$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 220.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 5c | 210.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf931…516abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Over | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 48c | 165.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 68c | 159.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 145.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 50c | 145.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 145.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 125.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 52c | 117.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 13c | 108.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 106.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 52c | 101.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…cf22backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 49c | 91.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 52c | 84.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 52c | 79.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 62.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 57.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 56.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 37.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 53c | 36.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 48c | 34.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 29.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 29.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 23.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 46c | 21.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 70c | 19.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 53c | 19.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.