Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40a11ce3c258c8c470dd98828d7ca180f777e078155dc497ac9ac892f62124a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 26c | 10,550$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.1 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 59c | 6,539$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.04 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 51c | 6,040$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.54 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 4,479$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.48 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 62c | 3,378$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.67 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 3,067$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.65 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 1,857$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.96 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 1,811$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.81 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 1,781$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.96 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 1,441$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.36 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 42c | 944.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.51 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 28c | 930.48$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.8 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 35c | 766$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.16 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 40c | 753.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 44c | 743.18$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 16c | 694.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 692.65$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 16c | 658.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 80c | 625$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 723 | 42%304 W · 419 L | -29.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 537.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 387.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 14c | 354.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 74c | 311.09$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 28c | 271.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 73c | 269$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Under | 56c | 198$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 72c | 198$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 189.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 170.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 226 | 53.5%121 W · 105 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 41c | 152.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 76c | 147.82$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 79c | 135$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 30c | 131.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 126$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 74c | 108.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 72c | 99.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 284 | 64.8%184 W · 100 L | +29.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 97.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 24c | 86.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 377 | 59.4%224 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 73c | 81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 74c | 62.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 60c | 60.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…614dbacked Under | 62c | 46.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 66c | 39.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 38.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 41c | 32.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 76c | 23.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Shandong Taishan FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.