TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Galions, TLN Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions74c20,000$14,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.8591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Galions73c12,161$8,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.4789347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TLN Pirates33c11,506$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.141,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Galions70c11,034$7,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,317.6939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked TLN Pirates30c8,250$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.62,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed TLN Pirates28c5,821$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6029621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed TLN Pirates26c4,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Galions75c2,332$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.3660354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TLN Pirates25c2,149$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.151,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed TLN Pirates26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52017439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked TLN Pirates1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed TLN Pirates1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked TLN Pirates25c1,908$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.9317042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked TLN Pirates26c1,589$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2287844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed TLN Pirates25c1,488$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.231,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Galions68c1,469$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0813632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed TLN Pirates5c1,253$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8354824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked TLN Pirates25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed TLN Pirates8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked TLN Pirates30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30045937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TLN Pirates33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed TLN Pirates29c953.52$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.11,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Galions68c919.74$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.3227244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed TLN Pirates33c919.58$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3515453.9%83 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Galions69c849.92$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1686943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked TLN Pirates34c848.57$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3298956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed TLN Pirates26c830$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.533332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TLN Pirates30c803.84$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.841,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed TLN Pirates25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006841.2%28 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Galions76c750$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Galions72c657.2$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked TLN Pirates15c559.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.61,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Galions68c511.49$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Galions66c501.97$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6746637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Galions65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17530357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef98…68f7backed TLN Pirates21c484.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0513145.8%60 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed TLN Pirates30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed TLN Pirates27c399.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce5…94dabacked TLN Pirates6c388.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.443647.2%17 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49a6…a658backed Galions78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6250051.6%258 W · 242 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Galions68c362.73$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3169041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1920…2be1backed Galions72c319.83$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.412475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+47.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed TLN Pirates26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018036.1%65 W · 115 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed TLN Pirates35c251.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.937755.8%43 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Galions61c250$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.585652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd48…8e98backed TLN Pirates19c243.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.195020%10 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Galions73c238.19$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1947453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked TLN Pirates9c225.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Galions63c224$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8844743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed TLN Pirates32c219$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0866947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Galions70c206.12$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.69046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked TLN Pirates34c200.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7446154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed TLN Pirates29c186.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0166458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Galions77c179.83$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7196…73d9backed TLN Pirates30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked TLN Pirates24c163.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Galions73c161.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2427247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Galions68c156.45$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0632939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Galions68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0623740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Galions69c145.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6138439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Galions73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9941945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed TLN Pirates26c136.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5822324.7%55 W · 168 L-0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed TLN Pirates35c130.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2815656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed TLN Pirates25c124.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1312638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217a…5dfabacked Galions80c123.74$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7547057.7%271 W · 199 L-27.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c65…fa22backed Galions69c118.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.883844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Galions62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.895048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked TLN Pirates31c107.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8712953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Galions77c107.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.182,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked TLN Pirates30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012656.3%71 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Galions62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3831435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked TLN Pirates31c99.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5110251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…357bbacked Galions72c95.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.547859%46 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed TLN Pirates29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d4b…50c5backed TLN Pirates42c86.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.143429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed Galions75c80.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.134667.6%234 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc4…e2b9backed TLN Pirates25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015045.3%68 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3834…d360backed Galions71c71.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.996272.6%45 W · 17 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed TLN Pirates29c67.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7657351.3%294 W · 279 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked TLN Pirates32c65.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0311659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed TLN Pirates24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.612840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Galions76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Galions78c63.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.083357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ca…16cebacked TLN Pirates35c57.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2913253%70 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Galions72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5623880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed TLN Pirates30c53.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked TLN Pirates36c52.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7938655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008d…a789backed Galions75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked TLN Pirates27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed TLN Pirates34c46.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626958%156 W · 113 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9e6cbacked TLN Pirates32c46.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0918655.9%104 W · 82 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed TLN Pirates40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169745.4%44 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c15…a96cbacked Galions68c36.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6830366.3%201 W · 102 L+34.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked TLN Pirates31c36.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2718655.4%103 W · 83 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed TLN Pirates33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb54…ac7bbacked Galions77c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.146965.2%45 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Galions51c30.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7772637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Galions72c27.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8224328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf56…50e7backed Galions70c27.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.271758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f3…03e9backed Galions73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.49956.6%56 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.