TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TLN Piratesof Galions, TLN Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed TLN Pirates50c10,000$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.2891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Galions50c7,944$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.9390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Galions61c7,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9839964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Galions1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5516511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked TLN Pirates56c4,338$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.9967760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TLN Pirates52c3,823$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.951,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Galions3c3,725$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick16cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked TLN Pirates49c2,831$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.151,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3b…810bbacked Galions44c2,539$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed TLN Pirates48c2,087$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.1513632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Galions1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed TLN Pirates30c1,667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.931,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Galions44c1,650$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.8927353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed TLN Pirates30c1,488$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.1937957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed TLN Pirates75c1,338$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.8360354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Galions24c1,275$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.873,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Galions51c1,254$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6716451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Galions39c1,238$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.7175342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked TLN Pirates38c1,128$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.8167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed TLN Pirates57c1,057$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3585652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Galions18c934.82$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6269841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Galions18c933.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,44143.4%625 W · 816 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed TLN Pirates45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49564247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Galions47c869.19$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9186943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed TLN Pirates70c857.86$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8624658.5%144 W · 102 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TLN Pirates67c507.9$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.821,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Galions19c504.05$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9527244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78db…a291backed Galions22c500$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.510745.8%49 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Galions44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Galions60c496.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Galions57c493.28$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28247453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Galions50c442.15$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.61,91742.3%810 W · 1,107 L-44.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x466b…7fd3backed TLN Pirates30c420.37$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.268854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95b…0d14backed TLN Pirates62c410.07$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.485764.9%37 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked TLN Pirates35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26055347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked TLN Pirates59c395.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6415457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions33c353.62$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.912,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked TLN Pirates57c351.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.251,66059.5%987 W · 673 L+97.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked TLN Pirates61c346.82$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8299147.1%467 W · 524 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Galions22c335.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.552743.5%229 W · 298 L+32.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Galions32c323.63$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7769041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked Galions65c309.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Galions39c304.66$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9660445.4%274 W · 330 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Galions17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5138342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Galions29c296.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.571,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed TLN Pirates79c283$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.927048.1%130 W · 140 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Galions71c281.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked TLN Pirates50c276.02$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0116842.9%72 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed TLN Pirates31c261.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7186251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked TLN Pirates50c255$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3560538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd48…8e98backed Galions9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205020%10 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed TLN Pirates50c208.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8347630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Galions11c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8835516.3%58 W · 297 L-25.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed TLN Pirates40c191.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8174637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Galions52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9723740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Galions17c178.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317220.8%15 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b2…2745backed Galions21c162.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412030.8%37 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Galions9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410654.7%58 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Galions48c157.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed TLN Pirates29c149.46$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1132839.6%130 W · 198 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed Galions47c147.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7017635.8%63 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed TLN Pirates48c141.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6720551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed TLN Pirates80c140$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2857349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Galions49c137.39$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6838845.4%176 W · 212 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed TLN Pirates36c136.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.811,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ef…8444backed TLN Pirates30c134.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.247860.3%47 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Galions45c131.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…0118backed Galions54c118.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.754957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Galions43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TLN Pirates26c111$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.231,81839.9%726 W · 1,092 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Galions33c110$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Galions41c98.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed TLN Pirates51c96.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0615243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Galions24c94.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed TLN Pirates32c93.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Galions54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017945.3%81 W · 98 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed TLN Pirates79c92.41$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4139266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates71c90.26$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.562,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Galions18c90.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21,44413.2%191 W · 1,253 L-110.0wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed TLN Pirates76c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.620439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Galions69c87.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6526958%156 W · 113 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed TLN Pirates30c85.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2664749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed TLN Pirates53c83.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3457151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TLN Pirates24c82.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.952,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc4…e2b9backed TLN Pirates49c82.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0615045.3%68 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Galions36c81.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Galions50c80.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked TLN Pirates49c74.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9540031.3%125 W · 275 L-28.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked TLN Pirates70c71.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4211754.7%64 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Galions15c70$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.524328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Galions68c69.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0852750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3073…3413backed TLN Pirates44c68.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6618960.3%114 W · 75 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed TLN Pirates30c68.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.752,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed TLN Pirates57c68.16$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.361,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x896a…cec5backed Galions68c67.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.881266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed Galions75c64.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1339861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa6…9361backed TLN Pirates32c63.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2814834.5%51 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3834…d360backed Galions70c62.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.656272.6%45 W · 17 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed TLN Pirates80c57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked TLN Pirates25c50.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7124832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.