Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3065d285461d27df1d63732b7dc20b1c220b6d3b380c260129cbea9cd7a4ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 1,310$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.24 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Galions | 68c | 1,000$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Galions | 65c | 591.87$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.16 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed TLN Pirates | 38c | 319.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed TLN Pirates | 34c | 308$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Galions | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed TLN Pirates | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Galions | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Galions | 63c | 233$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Galions | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed TLN Pirates | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Galions | 61c | 195.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Galions | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed TLN Pirates | 41c | 106.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Galions | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 251 | 51%128 W · 123 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Galions | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Galions | 62c | 73.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed TLN Pirates | 35c | 53.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed TLN Pirates | 35c | 43.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 35.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed TLN Pirates | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)TLN Pirates won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.