Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b03e80126aee722bcc0edbcfbbd8a9b16aeecc39ba0c0cdda135618f210c10d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 42c | 3,500$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.85 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 59c | 3,328$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.66 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 59c | 1,664$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.24 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 41c | 1,155$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.82 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 42c | 1,124$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.03 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 60c | 1,076$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 57c | 1,045$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.15 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Over | 57c | 883.34$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Over | 58c | 879.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 56c | 753.91$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.06 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 59c | 720.68$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 59c | 669$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 42c | 608.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 58c | 458.92$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Over | 61c | 407.85$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 40c | 379.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…d794backed Under | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 227.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Under | 39c | 204.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 40c | 197.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 59c | 189.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 57c | 180.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 60c | 131.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 153 | 62.1%95 W · 58 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 13c | 94.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 59c | 93.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 60c | 84.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Under | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Over | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 500 | 45.6%228 W · 272 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 42c | 31.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)Galions won
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)TLN Pirates won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.