Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcef33fa13f4276e29fb12680815d19f210ce358940e3728d5ff6782c6ebfce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TLN Piratesof Galions, TLN Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Galions | 38c | 2,476$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.72 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 2,465$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.23 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Galions | 39c | 2,446$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.79 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 1,055$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Galions | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 852.21$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.4 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Galions | 40c | 804.37$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.9 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Galions | 39c | 745.82$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 700$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed TLN Pirates | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked TLN Pirates | 60c | 598.25$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Galions | 41c | 485.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 450.82$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 449.27$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…cdc7backed TLN Pirates | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 198.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 198$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 167.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 162.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked TLN Pirates | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TLN Pirates | 61c | 145.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed TLN Pirates | 62c | 107.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 102.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Galions | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Galions | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked TLN Pirates | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Galions | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed TLN Pirates | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TLN Pirates | 57c | 67.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Galions | 39c | 51.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed TLN Pirates | 73c | 46.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Galions | 41c | 27.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Galions | 40c | 27.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TLN Pirates | 60c | 21.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 WinnerTLN Pirates won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.