TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d75…c09fbacked No58c11,897$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,996.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes32c10,045$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes42c8,002$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360.7330446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes44c5,762$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.278243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c4,466$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes42c4,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6606640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes42c3,908$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.531,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c3,881$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.461,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes43c3,438$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.3153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.997448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No58c2,330$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.613240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c2,179$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes42c2,130$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.799656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c2,082$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.6464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No72c2,049$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.061,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No58c1,938$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.159058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c1,903$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.3825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes37c1,895$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed No59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.5512236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No58c868$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.5620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed No59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes24c837.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No56c813$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7210245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes43c790.7$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes43c614.85$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.396033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24615049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c550$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.530634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes41c515.16$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2212821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21521355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked No60c418.95$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes25c406.89$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.051127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes45c360$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes12c338.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.595735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c320.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b5…2354backed No56c292.86$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602e…2980backed No56c292.86$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c277.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6b…6ad1backed Yes42c260$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…8cfdbacked No58c255$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes17c250$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf44…e2c3backed No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcee…8dbcbacked Yes42c245$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes44c225$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c225$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes41c207.32$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307625%19 W · 57 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes42c199.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa368…d391backed Yes17c180.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444465.9%29 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No57c174.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.916261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2544…6221backed Yes14c173$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.441838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Yes21c162.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.589533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c159.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes15c155.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.42661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No57c146.85$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes14c138.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes28c132.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.826920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes24c123.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes43c108.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes41c106.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.573455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes22c102.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9616838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes43c98.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.214548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes21c94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.742650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed No58c89.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.452548%12 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.217851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No58c80.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8720452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No55c79.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.747851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes42c76.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0712156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No55c75.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No55c70.13$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.279354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed No60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Yes45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes42c62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1412045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No60c55.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.239158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…af4abacked Yes29c55.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked Yes43c53.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Yes42c50.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.933348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.