CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7434c4501fb5d694c1e15fc639ab9a56e79928b53723f3d6cf504fd6a0113b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…91c5backed Ursa | 47c | 1,058$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ursa | 2c | 929.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 52c | 502.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked AM Gaming | 48c | 461$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed AM Gaming | 45c | 448.68$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…2afbbacked AM Gaming | 71c | 281.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed Ursa | 27c | 249.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked AM Gaming | 77c | 231.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…99c8backed Ursa | 24c | 165.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…a7d1backed AM Gaming | 76c | 165.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked AM Gaming | 46c | 129.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked AM Gaming | 50c | 99.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f3…1248backed Ursa | 25c | 97.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…5476backed AM Gaming | 72c | 89.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…d06dbacked AM Gaming | 72c | 80.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b04…9c22backed AM Gaming | 72c | 78.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…de1ebacked Ursa | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AM Gaming | 64c | 53.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ursa | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ursa | 49c | 49.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Ursa | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed AM Gaming | 47c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed AM Gaming | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f934backed Ursa | 68c | 30.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked AM Gaming | 80c | 29.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed AM Gaming | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked AM Gaming | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…ab10backed AM Gaming | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked AM Gaming | 60c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…1c39backed AM Gaming | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.