Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52880a3facc78bf322e09ed299d058ea75746f3867ceee515839a747279d6398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 5,795$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,743$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.86 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.97 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 53c | 1,380$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.51 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 25c | 1,032$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.87 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 53c | 549.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 47c | 464.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 32c | 350.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Under | 41c | 326.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 68c | 306.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 66c | 305.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…ae71backed Over | 70c | 277.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 182.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 54c | 156.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 48c | 128.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf675…dfbfbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 35c | 91.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed Over | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 64c | 69.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b7fdbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 57.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 62c | 56.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…0458backed Under | 36c | 56.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 41.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 55c | 40.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…1760backed Over | 55c | 36.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 61c | 34.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 56c | 31.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…03acbacked Over | 60c | 28.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 42c | 27.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Under | 67c | 26.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 56c | 19.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 19.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Over | 73c | 18.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.