Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc22ccb8e7c23e3fcd652c0134fca0491dc92ffc68476dbfe5317cffb3a5e56d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 7,680$4,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 5,046$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.39 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 79c | 539.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…13cabacked Under | 66c | 379.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 11c | 336.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 308.16$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 32c | 245.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 55c | 152.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 25c | 127$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 83.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 35c | 78.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 56.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 27c | 51.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 43c | 49.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 43.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 60c | 27.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 51c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.