Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9168f5e7d454eff1d71478d39638fdbdbc9b3660f263f47fdcf47528b85eb13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 15c | 39,969$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,969.31 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 11,727$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,085.22 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 13c | 8,888$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.29 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 13c | 6,146$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347.12 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 6,012$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 13c | 3,500$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 3,360$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.49 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 38c | 2,199$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.61 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,856$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.72 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 50c | 1,840$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.89 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 21c | 1,736$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.59 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.46 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 1,481$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 1,264$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…884bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,229$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 35c | 1,141$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 70c | 1,111$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.56 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 69c | 1,026$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.44 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 13c | 1,026$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.89 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 39c | 849.94$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 13c | 807.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.69 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 14c | 690.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.48 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 13c | 584.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.62 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 584$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 76c | 528.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71cbbacked No | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 10c | 475$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 16c | 386$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.24 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 370.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 12c | 346.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf622…0848backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed No | 11c | 327.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 77c | 324.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 15c | 312.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 77c | 260.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 14c | 256.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 74c | 212.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…c04bbacked Yes | 79c | 187.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 22c | 169.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed No | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 165.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 36c | 164.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 14c | 164.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 30c | 163$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Yes | 65c | 157.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 64c | 154.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 13c | 148.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 137.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 43c | 129.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…dc0fbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…9cb7backed Yes | 16c | 103$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 61c | 102.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 15c | 102$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1739…cfbbbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…1bebbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 150 | 43.3%65 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 13c | 95.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 45c | 85.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 13c | 79.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 76.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 75.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…2658backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…909cbacked Yes | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 38c | 59.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 20c | 52.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…38a3backed No | 34c | 46.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…978bbacked No | 33c | 36.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 36c | 35.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…68c2backed Yes | 62c | 32.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…f403backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f24ebacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 62c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…8656backed Yes | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…f395backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…a14dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?No won
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.