Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9de742d756773a02fa1169d25186bae85d14ed268b3e11d97ef34f2d2ba430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 17,280$11,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 52c | 16,277$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,812.74 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 12,177$5,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.6 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 10,774$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.45 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 10,511$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 56c | 9,127$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.28 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 4,988$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.52 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 4,392$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 47c | 4,258$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 3,491$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.79 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,950$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 2,431$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 2,413$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.26 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 54c | 1,860$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.7 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 55c | 1,750$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 47c | 1,642$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.52 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 46c | 1,577$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 53c | 1,476$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.93 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…0b83backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 55c | 1,286$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.63 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,204$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…ac34backed Yes | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 32c | 1,081$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.94 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 1,047$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.74 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 11c | 994.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 991.76$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.97 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b01…f019backed Yes | 46c | 960.43$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…fd5abacked Yes | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…1b72backed Yes | 48c | 716.54$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 48c | 666.48$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 224 | 36.6%82 W · 142 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…5e05backed No | 54c | 599.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 52c | 536.48$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 520.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 44c | 485.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 45c | 480.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…bdfbbacked Yes | 46c | 463.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 460$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea9…9d42backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6897backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af6…270abacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 48c | 402.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 400.22$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 46c | 398$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 42c | 364.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 52c | 360$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 13c | 308.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 300.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…5e52backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 277.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…a01bbacked Yes | 47c | 260.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…8e7dbacked Yes | 44c | 255.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d08…8b24backed Yes | 48c | 252.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 54c | 239.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e65…444cbacked Yes | 48c | 239.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked No | 56c | 229.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 46c | 220.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 218.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…797bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 55c | 206.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…561bbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…55fabacked Yes | 47c | 190.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…713bbacked Yes | 46c | 185.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…703fbacked Yes | 48c | 180.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 177$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 171.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 171$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Yes | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 45c | 169.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 47c | 168.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 8c | 166.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 9c | 160.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 21c | 143.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…cbf5backed Yes | 29c | 121.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 116$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 14c | 115$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…d044backed Yes | 49c | 113.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked No | 56c | 110.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- Belgium vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No won
- Egypt leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.