Uzbekistan leading at halftime?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5018a68bb860f8adf05cd2f6c51e9bb9abe728ec32ac6d6304992214932cd8b

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,487 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	9c	5,735$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.21	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes	11c	2,958$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.41	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Yes	11c	2,695$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	6c	2,306$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.45	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	10c	2,052$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.65	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes	10c	1,973$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.32	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes	10c	1,556$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	104	25%26 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	8c	995.71$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.63	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	867.44$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes	9c	800$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	9c	688.34$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.97	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	8c	628$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.24	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes	9c	399.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38b3…bc8ebacked Yes	5c	305$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+111.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb259…8a59backed Yes	5c	299.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes	10c	290$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	10c	248.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.86	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	7c	223.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…6129backed Yes	5c	202.96$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes	10c	172$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x319a…039bbacked Yes	14c	143.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	12.3%9 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	7c	143$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f89…2140backed Yes	10c	106$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc329…e038backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Uzbekistan leading at halftime?this page
Colombia leading at halftime?Yes won
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Uzbekistan leading at halftime?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event