Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt to score first vs. IR Iran?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x056f15df0628b1944e35d900b223a16da7c2a56a3e926979e58dd4d7be8f3905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 52c | 3,500$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.19 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 49c | 3,101$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 50c | 2,360$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,465$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.92 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 1,265$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.17 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…125abacked Yes | 50c | 1,071$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…5750backed Yes | 73c | 682.42$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.42 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed No | 15c | 643.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 51c | 596$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.96 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 52c | 475$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.25 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 352.74$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 14c | 350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 49c | 349.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 262$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 11c | 250.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5c13backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…7bc8backed Yes | 50c | 177.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 128.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 50c | 115.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 12c | 105.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…d01cbacked Yes | 48c | 102.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…72c1backed Yes | 50c | 98.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…c4c8backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 48c | 57.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 52c | 48.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…70cfbacked No | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 48c | 42.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…28eebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 51c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…3f6fbacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…ebe1backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…19b2backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 257 | 54.5%140 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…e22fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…6cf4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…9fd7backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…ee09backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt to score first vs. IR Iran?this page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?No won
- IR Iran to score first vs. Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.