TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa209…ffbebacked Yes58c2,588$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.7759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No50c2,410$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bb0…5c0cbacked No62c2,376$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.342128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed No60c1,890$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13415127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes39c1,429$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.7641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0e8e…c2bbbacked Yes50c1,371$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.32634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7916739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No18c1,036$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.22,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No51c1,017$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.641,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Yes52c963.47$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.4717053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80b6…58b6backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+74.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes49c952.27$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.8447648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Yes52c951.92$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.924772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes44c900$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes51c862.75$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7522419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No50c741.73$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.8786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c563.58$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c560$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Yes50c491.12$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5613943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Yes46c407.33$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.966860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Yes51c395$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1959839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09fe…76eebacked No50c370.48$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1717856.2%100 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No23c332.03$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No57c294.5$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No46c278.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked No60c270$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb010…3c99backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Yes52c231.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.096070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No19c227.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.031,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed No12c216.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.945724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Yes56c212.89$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6717462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked Yes50c203.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.527145.1%32 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes44c179.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.398843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No52c165.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3532639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No51c149.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.833237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…9756backed Yes51c141.03$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2816147.2%76 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No52c135.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.162,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Yes50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No45c121.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.592,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5326042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No15c95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9146243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe01…f020backed Yes49c89.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No44c84.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4534438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No48c79.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8135035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No43c74.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.235734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No50c72.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.634238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes57c70.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.447049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes42c64.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.651,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes55c63.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No37c63.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6633937.5%127 W · 212 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No53c60.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7736139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09de…cab9backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.698060%48 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No50c53.26$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4534035%119 W · 221 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7390…30a3backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.029150.5%46 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…a4dcbacked Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No44c42.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.635136.8%129 W · 222 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc3…4bdcbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671850%9 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677945.6%36 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No49c41.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3933538.8%130 W · 205 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No44c40.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6736335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0f…b582backed Yes50c39.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.613748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x466d…ffb1backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f2…c9a8backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+181.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00e4…db65backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b7…b06abacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Yes50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes51c32.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9731156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No50c31.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.933,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…9b28backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.565651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5316250%81 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes68c22.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0613651.5%70 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed Yes52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.158461.9%52 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ed…41dbbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18de…1f14backed Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8c…a02abacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104531.1%14 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c1d…ad16backed Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…0411backed No62c18.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.