Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184a435c998d70942a5ae2744dc3e84a295cb6993b7e2cb2bafda6787ce2ddd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 80c | 1,012$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 896.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 864.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 9c | 771.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 10c | 560$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2e52backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a3…ec1ebacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…fd37backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…e26bbacked Yes | 10c | 246.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 17c | 218.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 202.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 201.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 32c | 141.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 73c | 141.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 31c | 137.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…ab27backed Yes | 14c | 127$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 110.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…a095backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…5668backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984a…2726backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…1e06backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 73c | 96.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 73c | 83.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 73c | 83.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 73c | 68.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +20.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 73c | 55.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c024backed Yes | 39c | 43.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 76c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?this page
- Canada to score first vs. Switzerland?No won
- Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.