Fifa International · resolved market
Canada to score first vs. Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57145d5a89df78c4ca4563a4096cfafa881c52ab8a4948a86aaca2e32ab33ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d9…9b1ebacked Yes | 42c | 11,755$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 58c | 2,125$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.49 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 1,060$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…a199backed No | 57c | 1,030$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 1,017$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.46 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 58c | 824$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 60c | 727.63$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 693.21$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 413.61$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 58c | 382.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…6f92backed No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 293.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 274.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 58c | 263.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 56c | 256.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…1239backed Yes | 40c | 251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…3f1fbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 44c | 228.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 206.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 204.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 17c | 198.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed Yes | 43c | 180.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…42d9backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 162.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 59c | 140.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…49dabacked Yes | 36c | 139.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 58c | 124.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 59c | 123.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…0a65backed Yes | 52c | 114.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…1504backed Yes | 43c | 111.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 59c | 105.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…9d82backed Yes | 32c | 99.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 94.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 64c | 87.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Yes | 46c | 87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 44c | 79.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 61c | 72.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…8489backed Yes | 42c | 62.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 80c | 38.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 58c | 36.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 36.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 32.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 41c | 25.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada to score first vs. Switzerland?this page
- Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?Yes won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.