Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9452ca1c5685379499aac32efde21fa708aed0ce2f37bf11e7fa9bc4d7d5d5fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martyna Kubkaof Martyna Kubka, Gabriela Andrea Knutson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 24c | 3,780$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.67 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martyna Kubka | 76c | 3,691$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 43c | 1,228$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Martyna Kubka | 43c | 693.4$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.24 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 37c | 599.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.67 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Martyna Kubka | 51c | 392.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Martyna Kubka | 49c | 304.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 49c | 296.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Martyna Kubka | 61c | 204.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Martyna Kubka | 52c | 200.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 54c | 166.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Martyna Kubka | 60c | 161.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 26c | 147.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Martyna Kubka | 52c | 144.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…80c6backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Martyna Kubka | 48c | 135.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martyna Kubka | 63c | 128.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Martyna Kubka | 51c | 118.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…3bc2backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Martyna Kubka | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 51c | 93.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Martyna Kubka | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Martyna Kubka | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 38c | 38.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Martyna Kubka | 79c | 34.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 40c | 31.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 48c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 54c | 27.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Martyna Kubka | 79c | 27.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 60c | 25.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…efa6backed Martyna Kubka | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 54c | 21.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Martyna Kubka | 64c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 50c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e8b2backed Martyna Kubka | 58c | 21.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Gabriela Andrea Knutson | 53c | 18.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kubka vs KnutsonKubka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.