Movies · resolved market
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a73c50f4bf961dc34f655a7f580ec40fc36551a36112cca889e35f8b95d6951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fa2…41acbacked Yes | 46c | 1,176$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 59c | 450$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 53c | 431$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 56c | 203.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 63c | 181.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b9fbbacked No | 47c | 170.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 155.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 42c | 151.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 56c | 151.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…c31fbacked Yes | 47c | 141.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 43c | 135.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 46c | 133.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 50c | 121$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 55c | 102.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed Yes | 56c | 43.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 57c | 37.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 49c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed No | 57c | 24.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 57c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.