CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1804ed2b01977b3fb4545c589b3f4e2d817bdc64eee082d3def71f53c8e0b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3573…4b4dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 26c | 1,338$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.23 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom | 49c | 645$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.68 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 67c | 583.91$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 530$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 329.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Phantom | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 267.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Phantom | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 248.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Phantom | 59c | 243.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 230.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Phantom | 59c | 226.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 198.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 169.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 129.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 126.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…ca35backed Phantom | 60c | 122.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Phantom | 63c | 117.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Phantom | 37c | 109.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Phantom | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phantom | 45c | 98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Phantom | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 79.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Phantom | 60c | 64.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 59.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Phantom | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom | 52c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Phantom | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Phantom | 78c | 38.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom | 38c | 29.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Phantom | 76c | 28.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Phantom | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Phantom | 73c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Phantom | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.