CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb557835df0ee88c3b3bc8b3e2a46949d0d1de8ec66874b16458b3db28f5be1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 59c | 1,045$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 1,029$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.11 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 534.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Phantom | 49c | 255.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 237.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Phantom | 47c | 202.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Phantom | 54c | 191.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 55c | 186.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Phantom | 50c | 171.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Phantom | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Phantom | 47c | 148.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 147.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 137.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 132.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Phantom | 56c | 90.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 60.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StagePhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.