Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e70a419f8e7958fcc1ba657723615ad7fdd3decc746261e5594f00671b9f8b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14db…7cafbacked No | 31c | 1,276$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.34 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 38c | 766.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.58 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 3c | 615.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 66c | 444.49$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 41c | 379.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…d08cbacked Yes | 71c | 349.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 71c | 264.45$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.58 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked No | 41c | 242.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 63c | 241.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 58c | 240.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…5a54backed Yes | 64c | 232.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed Yes | 62c | 221.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 60c | 212.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 47c | 181.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 66c | 157.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…b542backed No | 24c | 149.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed Yes | 57c | 131.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 126.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 58c | 119.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 58c | 119.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 59c | 110.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 54c | 110.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 70c | 109.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 46c | 105.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…394dbacked No | 50c | 101.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 55c | 100.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 41c | 100.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 71c | 93.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 38c | 92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 67c | 89.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 51c | 87.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 28c | 86.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed No | 25c | 80.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 29c | 76.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed Yes | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 42c | 73.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 38c | 71.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…a164backed No | 22c | 69.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 62c | 60.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 59.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked Yes | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 69c | 46.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 66c | 45.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…78dabacked Yes | 55c | 43.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 37c | 43.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 64c | 42.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 59c | 42.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…f565backed Yes | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 67c | 40.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 70c | 39.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 39.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 39.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed No | 39c | 38.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 168 | 59.5%100 W · 68 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 53c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed No | 44c | 35.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed Yes | 72c | 34.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 71c | 33.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…6da7backed No | 60c | 31.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…d4cbbacked No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 61c | 31.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 69c | 30.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Yes | 58c | 29.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 42c | 28.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed No | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 65c | 26.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 25.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed Yes | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 41c | 25.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 24.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…b670backed Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked Yes | 55c | 23.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 23.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 75c | 23.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 58c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 64c | 20.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…c110backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…feb5backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed Yes | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…f6e8backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.