Tennis · resolved market
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5745b205c630048a212d2aac2dfc9a97facf4890f6440c369e432fe464e50caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guy Den Oudenof Pavel Kotov, Guy Den Ouden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guy Den Ouden | 78c | 3,902$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Guy Den Ouden | 49c | 3,651$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.24 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 1,992$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.52 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Guy Den Ouden | 47c | 1,318$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 1,202$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.7 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…e615backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pavel Kotov | 36c | 1,180$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Pavel Kotov | 8c | 1,135$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Pavel Kotov | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pavel Kotov | 16c | 1,073$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Guy Den Ouden | 73c | 1,038$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.85 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Pavel Kotov | 50c | 1,027$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.69 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Guy Den Ouden | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Guy Den Ouden | 48c | 999.94$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pavel Kotov | 22c | 893.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Pavel Kotov | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pavel Kotov | 33c | 850.46$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.17 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Pavel Kotov | 52c | 797.54$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Guy Den Ouden | 78c | 647.09$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pavel Kotov | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pavel Kotov | 25c | 538.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Guy Den Ouden | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pavel Kotov | 27c | 388.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Pavel Kotov | 4c | 386.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Pavel Kotov | 53c | 369.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 523 | 41.5%217 W · 306 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pavel Kotov | 4c | 355.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pavel Kotov | 26c | 286.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pavel Kotov | 21c | 255.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pavel Kotov | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Pavel Kotov | 34c | 220.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pavel Kotov | 28c | 189.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 189.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Pavel Kotov | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Pavel Kotov | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 176.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Pavel Kotov | 15c | 105.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Guy Den Ouden | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Pavel Kotov | 52c | 96.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pavel Kotov | 35c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a9a7backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 84.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pavel Kotov | 41c | 82.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 82.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pavel Kotov | 22c | 80.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 77.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Pavel Kotov | 23c | 66.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pavel Kotov | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Guy Den Ouden | 49c | 63.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pavel Kotov | 21c | 61.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 56.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Guy Den Ouden | 49c | 56.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pavel Kotov | 29c | 51.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Guy Den Ouden | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Pavel Kotov | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Guy Den Ouden | 65c | 47.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Pavel Kotov | 52c | 42.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34b…9d48backed Pavel Kotov | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Pavel Kotov | 52c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Pavel Kotov | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pavel Kotov | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Pavel Kotov | 33c | 37.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Guy Den Ouden | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Pavel Kotov | 52c | 30.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Pavel Kotov | 42c | 29.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Pavel Kotov | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 25.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Pavel Kotov | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pavel Kotov | 50c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Pavel Kotov | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 13.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.