Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749056b356f4847e6781a7c585a6428b48dbd192a23c98ddb2271017b3766c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 0c | 42,889$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…4ae3backed Yes | 0c | 23,200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 2c | 22,136$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.35 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 2c | 17,870$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 9c | 9,672$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.16 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 8c | 9,565$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.5 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 5c | 8,817$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.6 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 12c | 8,794$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.37 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…9400backed Yes | 0c | 8,087$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 2c | 7,525$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,113$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes | 17c | 5,901$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.31 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb831…892bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,840$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 179 | 17.9%32 W · 147 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 4c | 5,752$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 87 | 5.7%5 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes | 11c | 4,886$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 216 | 14.8%32 W · 184 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,346$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,282$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +610.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 2c | 4,259$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 13c | 3,630$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.41 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,536$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…6a12backed Yes | 15c | 3,376$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.18 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed Yes | 12c | 3,161$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.16 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 0c | 3,144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 4c | 3,126$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 20c | 2,933$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.93 | 226 | 10.6%24 W · 202 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 2c | 2,890$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,765$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 2,751$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 124 | 11.3%14 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 1c | 2,731$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 2c | 2,621$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,607$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes | 1c | 2,439$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 7c | 2,338$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 10c | 2,327$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 10c | 2,271$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 10c | 2,169$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 2c | 2,089$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 13c | 1,955$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99e…3853backed Yes | 7c | 1,943$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 197 | 22.8%45 W · 152 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 5c | 1,940$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 18c | 1,883$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.27 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960b…9303backed Yes | 6c | 1,873$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 3c | 1,816$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes | 4c | 1,793$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 11c | 1,768$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 14c | 1,746$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 12c | 1,692$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…1affbacked Yes | 5c | 1,684$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 18c | 1,673$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.62 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 12c | 1,626$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…a03bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,595$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 9c | 1,474$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…5954backed Yes | 1c | 1,428$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…32e4backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 132 | 29.5%39 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,392$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 8c | 1,370$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,335$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…f520backed Yes | 14c | 1,314$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e18…9fd6backed Yes | 5c | 1,279$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 5c | 1,123$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…77acbacked Yes | 2c | 1,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 159 | 25.2%40 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 14c | 1,008$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 137 | 13.1%18 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…17e5backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 6c | 990.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes | 14c | 951.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…70d2backed Yes | 10c | 949.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 948.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…e564backed Yes | 20c | 942.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 14c | 928.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 8c | 927.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 6c | 915.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 2c | 902.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 7c | 900.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked Yes | 2c | 899.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 10c | 898.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 2c | 877.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 823.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 10c | 810.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…6099backed Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes | 8c | 785.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 6c | 785.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 3c | 777.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes | 10c | 748.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 10c | 736.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 735.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…9eaabacked Yes | 2c | 657.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes | 7c | 650.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes | 8c | 616.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes | 10c | 600.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 135 | 17.8%24 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 10c | 599.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 26.9%46 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 591.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 121 | 6.6%8 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…008fbacked Yes | 7c | 575$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…f98fbacked Yes | 5c | 560.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +97%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 6c | 540.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.