Tennis · resolved market
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8df83450ca5e2dfa5b53fa6fe6e4439dcff59b2b50af65669bf640c843f0e9e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Tabiloof Alejandro Tabilo, Aleksandar Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejandro Tabilo | 3c | 4,005$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed Alejandro Tabilo | 19c | 3,324$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 79c | 3,029$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.92 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alejandro Tabilo | 22c | 3,013$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.61 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alejandro Tabilo | 26c | 2,438$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.74 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Alejandro Tabilo | 17c | 2,400$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 71c | 2,267$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.77 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 77c | 1,938$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.94 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 1,834$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 78c | 1,811$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 1,248$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.86 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejandro Tabilo | 23c | 1,107$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alejandro Tabilo | 9c | 1,106$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.7 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alejandro Tabilo | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Alejandro Tabilo | 19c | 806.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.75 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Alejandro Tabilo | 23c | 775.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Alejandro Tabilo | 21c | 691.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alejandro Tabilo | 19c | 616.17$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 74c | 496.82$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alejandro Tabilo | 22c | 496.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.43 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Alejandro Tabilo | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Alejandro Tabilo | 16c | 411.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Alejandro Tabilo | 25c | 403.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Alejandro Tabilo | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 79c | 314.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.78 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 80c | 313$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alejandro Tabilo | 17c | 308.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Alejandro Tabilo | 9c | 308.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.65 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 286.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 278$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 273.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Alejandro Tabilo | 16c | 238.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alejandro Tabilo | 21c | 176.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 173.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alejandro Tabilo | 14c | 170.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7203backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 170$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alejandro Tabilo | 16c | 162.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…6651backed Alejandro Tabilo | 7c | 161.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Alejandro Tabilo | 21c | 160$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 70c | 152.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Alejandro Tabilo | 19c | 150$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 74c | 122$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Alejandro Tabilo | 16c | 99.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Alejandro Tabilo | 14c | 85.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Alejandro Tabilo | 17c | 83.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Alejandro Tabilo | 18c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 80c | 72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 75c | 66.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 75c | 66.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alejandro Tabilo | 21c | 60.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 77c | 50.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Alejandro Tabilo | 79c | 50.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 79c | 48.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Alejandro Tabilo | 78c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Alejandro Tabilo | 78c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 77c | 39.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 74c | 33.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 77c | 25.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…e339backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Aleksandar Kovacevic | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Aleksandar Kovacevic | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs KovacevicTabilo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.