TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, ASTRAL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY75c13,463$10,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.233,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY72c11,535$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.825,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY72c8,890$6,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.72,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed ASTRAL29c8,273$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36314051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked ASTRAL16c3,939$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.221,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed ASTRAL31c3,608$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.653740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL28c2,700$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY70c1,833$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.556,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL15c1,827$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed ex-RUBY76c1,648$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.875464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb18…2571backed ASTRAL28c1,536$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL40c1,530$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.312,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL16c1,285$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.955,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed ASTRAL28c1,157$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3244055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed ex-RUBY54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50618356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed ASTRAL28c1,089$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4780942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY71c1,072$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.332,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed ASTRAL28c1,039$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8115740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed ASTRAL29c986.21$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28659343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ASTRAL17c951.66$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.311,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY64c838.57$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.654,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed ASTRAL37c810.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed ASTRAL28c799.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22449935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL28c790.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.281,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked ASTRAL28c787.63$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5413043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL19c777.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.692,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked ASTRAL9c768.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL26c766.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.72,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed ASTRAL6c737.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4148635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54d…05f6backed ASTRAL27c710$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY70c646.4$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.515,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed ASTRAL27c605$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.256445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL35c558.01$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.867,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed ex-RUBY72c554.38$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2329455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ex-RUBY71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14540155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1362…f403backed ex-RUBY71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+67.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed ex-RUBY72c432.32$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.053545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ASTRAL29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11657641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked ASTRAL29c382.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.842343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked ASTRAL36c363.88$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13116355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed ASTRAL37c360.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4331241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed ASTRAL23c352.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed ASTRAL29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…db4fbacked ex-RUBY79c339.53$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.863100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked ASTRAL42c336.77$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4615044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL26c316.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.332,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed ASTRAL30c314.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ASTRAL15c304.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.621,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed ex-RUBY67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed ASTRAL29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL36c290.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.132,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7cba…dbf7backed ex-RUBY73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked ex-RUBY71c258.81$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.062584%21 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked ASTRAL29c257.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.566437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked ASTRAL27c256.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2227940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked ex-RUBY76c250.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked ASTRAL5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.516311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed ex-RUBY80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL24c226.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.613,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked ASTRAL38c220$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.641516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94fd…7fefbacked ex-RUBY76c218.09$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.361566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked ASTRAL37c175$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7510942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUBY71c173$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1774054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd689…ffe0backed ASTRAL29c162.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…f078backed ASTRAL40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.878645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed ex-RUBY43c159$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked ASTRAL42c157.36$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5745238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked ASTRAL28c150.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1946447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY72c150.13$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY77c148.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed ex-RUBY72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8942757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed ASTRAL29c136.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.058250%41 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed ex-RUBY72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.650056.6%283 W · 217 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL10c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL34c119.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.063,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL30c116.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.454,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked ex-RUBY71c111$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.197447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0315…760cbacked ASTRAL22c110.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked ex-RUBY73c109.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.924468.2%30 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked ASTRAL29c106$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7431647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed ex-RUBY72c101.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5237855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed ASTRAL26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621744.7%97 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked ASTRAL52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5250358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed ASTRAL28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2865946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed ASTRAL28c97.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3316346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed ASTRAL28c90.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bc…1373backed ex-RUBY68c88.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.271580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed ASTRAL31c88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5840141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed ASTRAL47c86.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.517756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked ex-RUBY60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fb…1c4abacked ASTRAL59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked ASTRAL29c73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1715747.1%74 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedc…41d9backed ASTRAL29c72.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-RUBY72c66.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7183856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked ex-RUBY74c62.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1216651.8%86 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUBY72c59.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7174653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed ASTRAL28c59.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.839946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked ex-RUBY72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5644675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked ASTRAL37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.