CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4cfc300501ac117608afe30fbe6d3a7275e5eed7366de8777a35003e50a82e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ex-RUBY, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL | 68c | 4,029$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.02 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 3,027$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.5 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-RUBY | 47c | 1,871$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.76 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,500$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.93 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 999.97$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 46c | 970.24$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 966.73$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ASTRAL | 44c | 870.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.93 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 45c | 811.51$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ASTRAL | 61c | 655.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 529$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 16c | 471.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 433.59$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 59c | 365$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 364.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 63c | 314.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ASTRAL | 35c | 302.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…13eabacked ex-RUBY | 14c | 298.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 283.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 51c | 274.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked ASTRAL | 56c | 179.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ASTRAL | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked ASTRAL | 42c | 166.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 164.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL | 59c | 133.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed ASTRAL | 34c | 124$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 62c | 119.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 114.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 112.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 104.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked ASTRAL | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed ASTRAL | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed ASTRAL | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…5ecebacked ASTRAL | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ASTRAL | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ASTRAL | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY | 23c | 46.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ASTRAL | 44c | 45.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ASTRAL | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked ASTRAL | 80c | 35.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 33.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ASTRAL | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked ex-RUBY | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.