Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9263f4b5abbe42294c13f6b53d05599f09e2a091eabd5b41cbccbe3a554479cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ad3…6871backed Yes | 45c | 1,890$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 1,537$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.73 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 42c | 436.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 58c | 401.14$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed No | 77c | 324.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 298.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 58c | 278$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 238.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 45c | 235.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 193.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…206dbacked No | 38c | 192.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 65c | 179.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 53c | 168.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 158.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…8be2backed Yes | 48c | 145.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 46c | 145$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 51c | 131.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 65c | 130.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 13c | 127.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 39c | 117.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 51c | 107.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed Yes | 28c | 106.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 104.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 45c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 50c | 103.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 59c | 97.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 92.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 92.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 91.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 35c | 90.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 86.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 78.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 60c | 55.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 37c | 55.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 66c | 52.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 58c | 46.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 54c | 41.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 40.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 43c | 38.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…5dadbacked No | 59c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 43c | 34.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 60c | 34.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…9a08backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…3387backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 49c | 29.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 63c | 29.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 26.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 38c | 26.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 54c | 25.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 58c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.