South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x603dd854bcfa5678f54d3594444b4e8508359838d32992f8fa5e65d497b697d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Tolimaof Club Universitario de Deportes, CD Tolima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 9c | 1,579$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 17c | 1,403$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 18c | 1,230$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CD Tolima | 78c | 1,073$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.02 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 19c | 1,002$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 19c | 819$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 16c | 815$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Club Universitario de Deportes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Club Universitario de Deportes | 19c | 259.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Universitario de Deportes | 14c | 251.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Club Universitario de Deportes | 22c | 220.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 13c | 199.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Club Universitario de Deportes | 14c | 182.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 14c | 169.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 13c | 135.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Club Universitario de Deportes | 14c | 99.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Club Universitario de Deportes | 21c | 59.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…afcbbacked CD Tolima | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)this page
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.