South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b71ca04c49cd5d450078f96e657f86653fd2b6e3fb9c4293782c8b8eb3aadd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 13c | 1,174$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 149.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 123.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 29c | 123.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 37c | 92.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 61c | 80.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 79.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 62c | 74.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 38c | 40.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 29.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.