South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f10a9451c38da763df69c73b8417564239fc0bbd860d28a2c5d2b25089590cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 16c | 11,577$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.17 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 6,222$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 48c | 3,044$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 52c | 2,007$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.45 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 1,810$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 54c | 836.91$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 725.76$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.81 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 47c | 693.29$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.12 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 46c | 618$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.28 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 556.61$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 56c | 476.81$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 48c | 323.05$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 45c | 307$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 241.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 239.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 236$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 195.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 54c | 193.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 53c | 133.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 55c | 115.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 47c | 64.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Yes | 48c | 32.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 56c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.