Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece3c8f39c013fd3aaee2f601080d744ab896d472f02a0939d3b87fbab42650b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 39c | 3,211$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.83 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 56c | 1,571$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.95 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 993$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 30c | 770.9$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 59c | 720.01$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.73 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 67c | 549$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.53 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 60c | 343.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 61c | 333$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 304.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 60c | 279.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.76 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 40c | 270$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 45c | 262.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 235$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 229.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…73cabacked Yes | 50c | 177$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…a75dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 153.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 59c | 142$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 141$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Yes | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb607…b624backed Yes | 75c | 133.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 65c | 123$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 36c | 122.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 39c | 112.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 59c | 106$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4182backed Yes | 59c | 106$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 60c | 103$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 94.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 14c | 91.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 41c | 74.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…5f74backed No | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…96d5backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…5131backed No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…e552backed Yes | 40c | 54.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 52.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6175…bf94backed Yes | 33c | 46.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…db51backed No | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed No | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…23c1backed No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed No | 54c | 35.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 54c | 33.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 38c | 29.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed Yes | 51c | 24.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4f…4cfebacked Yes | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed No | 76c | 21.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…bcffbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…1c22backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…c11abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…a3acbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…e8f7backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.