Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36361caa7365f14b32d3e54f69e4436699b483df0b1d02f433d70aa26e0a753b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 31c | 989.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.09 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 455.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 57c | 360.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.56 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 270$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 59c | 262.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 205.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 18c | 202$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 29c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 23c | 194.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 185$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 28c | 180.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 72c | 173$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Yes | 76c | 131.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 77c | 101.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 78c | 100.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 18c | 84.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 29c | 71.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa853…58a9backed Yes | 33c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 77c | 40.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…3230backed Yes | 45c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 75c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 66c | 21.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…e987backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…1c22backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…d1f7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.